NFL Betting Preview: Houston vs. Jacksonville Showdown

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00:00Houston and Jacksonville.

00:04I love this over at 44 and a half.

00:07The Texans early in this week were looking as a touchdown favorite against the Jacksonville

00:12Jaguars.

00:13Money has come in on the Jags pushing this number back down to kind of where the look

00:17ahead line was here at five and a half, maybe a little bit higher than books would have

00:21anticipated.

00:22But considering what we last saw from the Jaguars, you have yourselves a five and a

00:27half point spread where perhaps for the second week in a row, people are ugly betting the

00:32Jags.

00:33I'm leaving this side to be, I expect points of plenty on the Houston side.

00:38They're going to be without Jimmy Ward, which I think can hurt it.

00:40But also this is bounce back Stroud before it's born.

00:44We have data, Allen Mahomes, all these different quarterbacks where we borrow, hey, listen,

00:50if they were bad last week, here comes the next week.

00:53Stroud is coming off of probably the worst game of his young career.

00:55When you consider everything, I think they can absolutely let it fly in this one, especially

01:01with Jacksonville's linebacker core torn to pieces heading into this one.

01:05I love points in the IFC South might be selling me now.

01:08They play two games last year, 24, 21, and they had 54 in the first meeting.

01:13So that would that would get you through the 44 and a half today.

01:16In regards to that, I reluctantly and I say reluctantly take the Jags in regards to this

01:22matchup because it is a divisional opponent.

01:24They were a public dog on Monday night because they started on to feel like a lot of people

01:29got abused in regards to that.

01:30They look so bad.

01:32People are selling them the franchise Peterson dead man walking.

01:35I'm willing to take one last shot at this situation.

01:40And I told you in regards to before the show started, right, they've lost eight games.

01:44Trevor Lawrence has the last team they beat was the Houston Texans last year.

01:48So again, maybe you get their best best effort.

01:50We get through the total.

01:52But I would take the five and a half points, Donnie.

01:55And I'm also on Lawrence over the 22 to 22 and a half.

01:58Here's the tough part about Houston, right?

02:00You take a look at Tank Dell not going to play today.

02:02Young superstar wide receiver can get deep here.

02:04Nico Collins is going to play.

02:05He's more likely to not finish this game and finish it with a hamstring injury, which then

02:09brings us back.

02:10Let's lean on Nixon, who is fantastic game number one.

02:12He's not there either.

02:13So I do think there is a price point here that you're saying, all right, can Houston

02:16win the football game?

02:17Yes.

02:18Under seven now.

02:19Maybe just take the points and watch this one play out.

02:21But sometimes I like to say, how is Jacksonville going to win this game?

02:24And I look at Travis Etienne, 49 and a half is his rushing problem.

02:27Put it this way.

02:28He goes under that.

02:29They don't win this football game.

02:30If he goes over that, there's a chance that they might not win this football game.

02:33I would look at Travis Etienne.

02:34We said Jones opened up the show 100 yards last week.

02:36Why can't Etienne get 15 plus carries and get 75, 80 yards in this game?

02:40Why not?

02:41It's my kryptonite.

02:42Yours still last year.

02:43Well, I also think, Donnie, Jacksonville's just chasing their tail a little bit.

02:47Like, I understand what you're saying.

02:48But also, a world where Doug Peterson comes out and throws from the word go, it wouldn't

02:52necessarily stun me in this game.

02:53I'm not sure it would be a mistake, actually, if that's what he did.

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