Ole Miss Aims to Cover Three-Touchdown Spread: Game Insights

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00:00We start with Ole Miss. Fifth-ranked and on the road for their first true road test of

00:08the year in Winston-Salem. Joe, an intriguing game. Power competition on both sides. Slightly

00:14less than a three-touchdown spread. Twenty and a hook in favor of the Run-Rebs who, listen,

00:20I know the competition hasn't been great. FCS, Foe and Furman. Middle Tennessee State

00:24without their longtime head coach in Rick Stock still this year. But they're 2-0 against

00:30the spread. They won 52-3 last week, covering as a 42-and-a-half point favorite. And as

00:35we shared during the Heisman Trophy talk, Jackson Dart has been the most efficient passer

00:40in college football. Can Ole Miss cover as a three-touchdown favorite today in Wake?

00:45They can, and I saw this line up around 22-and-a-half, 23 in regards to this matchup. You're talking

00:51about Jackson Dart, 87% completion percentage, 795 yards, six touchdowns. He's added another

00:58two on the ground, and they're averaging 64 points per game. And they're going up against

01:02a defense in Wake Forest that allowed Virginia to steal that game in the last seven minutes

01:08of that matchup at home with a 13-point lead. They put up some points as well. Again, when

01:13you look at this matchup, and Wake cost me last week as a one-and-a-half point favorite.

01:18Terrible coaching decision by Dave Klaassen, up 13 on a third-and-nine, could've ran it,

01:25and went for it on fourth-and-nine, totally gave the game away. But that being said, the

01:29fact that it's right around three touchdowns, a little bit more, I'd be inclined to take

01:34the points. You have Hank Bachmeier, the former Boise State quarterback that's playing very

01:39well, 666 passing yards, four tutties, no interceptions. They're averaging, Ben, 361

01:46passing yards per game. Keep an eye out for Donovan Green, a playmaker as well that leads

01:51his team in receptions. I don't know if they win it, but I don't think they win it. But

01:55they cover this number today, and the overdose flies through the 64-and-a-half.

01:59I am interested to see what the Jackson-Dart stat line looks like, because Jackson-Dart

02:04came out and said, I'm not worried about the Heisman Trophy. Well, then I guess your coach

02:09is, because last week, in the fourth quarter, 45-3, ball at their own six-yard line. Jackson-Dart

02:16is in throwing touchdown passes. And that is what we call the Jaden Daniels playbook.

02:21So his passing yards prop today is 323-and-a-half. Why so high? They're 21-point favorites. Why

02:26would he need to throw the ball that much? Well, because Ole Miss is clearly chasing

02:33a Heisman for Jackson-Dart. It's clear as day. That's why his numbers look so good.

02:37I mean, he has to be able to convert on the opportunities. The numbers are absolutely

02:41gorgeous and glorious. 87-percent passes completed. Eight total touchdowns. I mean,

02:45again, as we went through the statistics, statistically, he's the guy. And that is by

02:50design. So I would just look for Jackson-Dart to smash every single number on the table,

02:55because that is clearly what Ole Miss is valuing.

02:57Nearly 450 yards of total offense for Dart in the opening half in the season opener against

03:03Furman. Six total touchdowns, five through the air. Only that single touchdown last week.

03:08Just seven incompletions for Jackson-Dart.

03:11Listen, can I just say something? Does anyone think that if at the end of the year this

03:16team's 10-2, people are going to go back and be like, oh, come on, but all his statistics

03:20were against Furman and Middle Tennessee and Wake Forest? Does anybody think that? Because

03:24nobody did it last year. So I'm just curious, because, listen, I am trying not to derail

03:29this show, but I still really can't get over you saying that Jackson-Dart hasn't done it

03:33against anybody and then think back to everything we talked about last year.

03:36It's the second game of the year.

03:38I understand that.

03:39He's played nobody. I have to look at it. Look, if we, Jackson-Dart at the start of

03:44the year was my pick to win the Heisman, right? He was one of, along with Donovan Edwards.

03:49But again, I have to look at it objectively. I mean, the fact that he's put up 87% completion

03:55percentage on Middle Tennessee State and Furman, and he's still got to play LSU. He still has

04:00to play a handful of teams in the SEC. Right, Georgia. Let me see you duplicate that type

04:06of success against top 10 opponents before I'm buying in.

04:10No doubt about it, right? You have to have those solid performances in the spots where

04:15your games are going to be the most significant. But you also need the base level against teams

04:20you should beat up on and perform like you're beating up on that team. Jackson-Dart so far

04:26the most efficient passer in college football. A passer rating of 247.4. That breaks through

04:33the charts. Ole Miss did allow 250 passing yards last week in their game against MTSU.

04:39But on 28 rush attempts for the Blue Raiders, just a yard point one per pop. Henry Parrish

04:46Jr., by the way, the Miami transfer. Four rushing touchdowns last week, 165 yards. And

04:52since the start of last season, Wake was just a 4-8 football team. Last year, now 1-1.

04:56Blowing a 30-17 lead, entering the fourth quarter last week in the ACC opener against Virginia.

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