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Why this expert thinks Bitcoin can reach $420,000
The Street
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9/13/2024
Ric Edelman, Founder of The Digital Assets Council Of Financial Professionals, joins TheStreet to explain why he’s so high on Bitcoin.
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Transcript
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00:00
Where do you see Bitcoin headed in 2025?
00:04
I see it going higher.
00:06
I'm on record as suggesting that by the end of the decade, Bitcoin will be $420,000.
00:13
I believe Bitcoin is going to rise eightfold over the next six years, far outpacing the
00:19
performance of any other asset class.
00:21
So I'm a strong believer that you should have a 1% or 2% or 3% allocation in your portfolio
00:28
to Bitcoin and Ethereum, because I think it's a good diversification tool and you have a
00:34
very high potential for outperforming the markets.
00:38
And if it doesn't go well, it's only 1% or 2%, it's not going to cause you irreparable
00:43
financial damage.
00:45
So I think too many people don't know enough about this, and they are missing the opportunity
00:50
that is available.
00:53
I'm going to get back to the portfolio percentage in a minute, but I can't just let you go with
00:57
giving us a big number like that, $420,000 for Bitcoin.
01:00
How do we get there?
01:02
What is the catalyst to move Bitcoin prices from where they are now to your target?
01:09
Well, take a look at the world's total wealth.
01:12
If you add up the total value of all the money in the world, the total value of stocks and
01:18
bonds and real estate and gold and oil, etc.
01:21
It all adds up $7.5 or $70, $80 trillion of value.
01:28
We are recommending roughly 1%, 2% of assets in crypto.
01:33
If everybody in the world who owned all those assets were to allocate just 1% of their portfolio
01:39
to crypto, we'd be talking about a $7 trillion infusion of capital into the asset class.
01:47
We know there's only 21 million Bitcoins that will ever be created, 19 million of them
01:53
so far already have.
01:55
So you do the simple arithmetic, 19 million Bitcoins into 7.5 trillion of asset flows,
02:03
that translates to about $420,000 per Bitcoin.
02:06
So we believe that over the next five years, we're going to see greater institutional engagement.
02:12
You're going to see endowments, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, family offices, hedge
02:17
funds, engaging in asset allocation, including crypto in their portfolios.
02:23
We're already beginning to see this, half a billion people worldwide already own crypto.
02:29
We're seeing pension funds and endowments already engaged now that the Bitcoin ETFs
02:35
and Ethereum ETFs are available in the marketplace here in the US.
02:38
So as this adoption grows, since the supply is fixed, the increased demand will translate
02:45
into a radically higher stock price or price for Bitcoin.
02:49
So you mentioned the rise in the price of Bitcoin, but man, when the price drops, it
02:54
really does drop.
02:56
So what's your sales pitch to clients?
02:58
Crypto, of course, is a shiny new thing, but the volatility on that thing is through the roof.
03:03
That volatility might be too much for most investors.
03:07
You're absolutely right.
03:09
This is an extraordinarily volatile asset.
03:12
Ten times it has lost 70% or more of its value.
03:16
So it is ridiculously volatile.
03:18
This is the way it is for any new technology.
03:21
Go back to Amazon.
03:22
Look at its first 15 years of life.
03:24
It had the same level of volatility.
03:27
This is not uncommon within the tech stock world.
03:30
So you need to recognize that fact.
03:32
You need to decide, as you just pointed out, do you have the stomach for that volatility?
03:35
Is this something you want to have as part of your portfolio?
03:38
If you can handle the volatility, if you can be a long-term investor, realizing that
03:43
in the end, high volatility can translate to high profit while also running the risk
03:48
of high loss, that'll help you decide whether or not you should do this.
03:53
And it's a big part of the reason I recommend only 1% or 2% or 3%.
03:57
Don't put 10% or 20% or 30% of your money in this.
04:00
It's way too volatile and too risky.
04:02
But 1% or 2%, I think most people can tolerate that.
04:08
Thanks for watching.
04:09
Don't forget to like and subscribe.
04:10
And I'll see you in the next video.
04:11
Take care.
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