Betting Insights: LSU's Edge & Florida State's Predictions

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00:00Hey, we gotta get to our betting cards for tonight and tomorrow.

00:05At least you gotta take it away.

00:06I'll start a game tonight LSU open that is a four and a half point favorite this morning

00:11down to three and a half.

00:13If you love him at four and a half, got to love it at three and a half and I altered

00:16it as high as nine and a half because I think physicality will win this matchup.

00:20We also talk about Brian Kelly on the road or on a neutral field over the past six seasons,

00:2530 and 14 overall.

00:27I don't care about the last two years.

00:29I think they have a significant advantage in the trenches.

00:32I think they win it tonight.

00:33Josh Williams, he's my guy.

00:35Where's number 18?

00:36He's the bigger back over Caleb Jackson tonight.

00:39I think he could score pay dirt not once but twice at plus 450.

00:43Also altered him up guys over 50 and a half tonight.

00:46Mason Taylor.

00:47I think he has a huge part of this offense.

00:49He 50 plus receiving yards at plus 142 to hit pay dirt plus 162 and then I'm taking

00:56the over Monday night.

00:57I do believe Florida State scores a 40 spot at least and this game flies through the total

01:03bounce back at home.

01:05That's the difference.

01:06So for me, I will say this, I, you know, I was mad at myself that I took a total in a

01:12Georgia Clemson game.

01:13So delaying the number.

01:14I was like, all right, that's a little lesson learned.

01:16I was going to be on LSU, but then some, I promised myself that if something was something

01:21that I had to pivot.

01:22So I pivoted.

01:23Yeah.

01:24And I do like this under and it's something that I wouldn't want to get involved with.

01:26That's what I'm involved with here at 64 and a half.

01:29If this number gets up to 67 and a half, we'll probably have to get back in, but I'm confident

01:34in this number here.

01:35I think that there, this is just a number that's still a tick too high based on the

01:39uncertainty that we have with some of the offensive weapons that have been changing

01:42and the defenses that are desperate, desperate to progress here.

01:46I also think you could see a little bit of conservativeness in an early game like this,

01:50which is going to be important for both teams at large chances here.

01:54It's important to hang in a game like this.

01:57You don't want to be rolled by 1721 type of points in a matchup like this.

02:00So I'm happy to play under at 64 and a half.

02:03And I mentioned, I'm going to go with Boston college here to cover those 16 and a half

02:06points.

02:07Yeah.

02:08Trusting Bill O'Brien and fading this Florida state team while we're still getting numbers

02:11like this.

02:12I am very sorry to do this to you, but I like LSU minus four and a half as well, lineback

02:17up to four in a hook.

02:18I think the Bayou Bengals are a better team and I think the Bayou Bengals are a better

02:21team by a touchdown tonight in Las Vegas.

02:24And I'll go to the props as well as Zachariah branch for USC, really three sophomore wideouts.

02:30Now anchoring this wide receiver room in LA for Miller Moss, who has the higher passing

02:34yards prop tonight than that of Garrett Nussmeier Zachariah branch featured in the return game

02:39last year.

02:40Now takes that leading role in the wideout room, right out Williams over 65 and a half

02:44rushing yards tomorrow night in Dallas.

02:48I know you don't like that one as well.

02:50We get back at it though.

02:51It was on the card week zero.

02:53Don't shake your head.

02:55I'm Chris Castellanos.

02:56Anytime TD as well.

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