Kamala Harris vs Trump

Minahil Khan

8/12/2024

Transcript

00:00The enthusiasm around the Harris-Walz campaign is seen at their rallies, no doubt.

00:06It's also showing up in new polling that we want to bring to you today, showing the Democratic

00:09ticket has made some gains in some battleground states.

00:12What does momentum look like in the polls?

00:13Harry Intim is here.

00:14What are you seeing?

00:15What am I seeing?

00:16So these were these New York Times-Siena College polls that came out over the weekend.

00:20And look, this is Democrat versus Trump margin.

00:22This is May, Biden versus Trump.

00:24You see plenty of red on this side of your screen, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan.

00:28And of course, that quote unquote blue wall, this was back in May.

00:31You saw Trump up by three, Trump up by one in Wisconsin, Biden up by a single point in

00:36Michigan.

00:37The trend line here is what's so important.

00:40So let's jump ahead from May to August.

00:43We go from some red on this side of the screen.

00:45Look at all this blue on this side of the screen, Pennsylvania Harris by four, Wisconsin

00:50Harris by four, Michigan Harris by four.

00:53So you're seeing those comments on Trump on social media kind of going bananas.

00:57And you're wondering why.

00:59It's because he's looking at polling data like this, which shows clear momentum from

01:03Donald Trump to Kamala Harris as Joe Biden's got out of the race.

01:06I'll note still, no clear leader up here, but you would much rather be Kamala Harris

01:10up by four within the margin of error than Joe Biden down by three in Pennsylvania, down

01:15one in Wisconsin, and only up by one in Michigan within the margin of error.

01:19These are three to five point movements towards the Democratic ticket.

01:23Clear momentum.

01:24And it's clearly angering Donald Trump.

01:26But take us inside the numbers.

01:27Who is Harris appealing to that Joe Biden was not when we had these numbers?

01:32Yes.

01:33So, OK.

01:34Is it that Harris is getting Republican voters?

01:35No, it's not that she's getting Donald Trump voters from 2020.

01:39What is she doing?

01:40Number one, she's coalescing the Democratic base.

01:42So look, in Biden this spring, he was getting only 90 percent of the voters who voted for

01:46him back in 2020.

01:49Look at it now.

01:50What do we see?

01:51We see Kamala Harris is getting 93 percent of those voters.

01:53So we see that momentum.

01:54The other thing that we see is those untraditional voters.

01:58Those voters.

01:59There's all this talk that Donald Trump was going to get these voters off the sidelines

02:02and get them to vote for him.

02:03We didn't vote in 2020.

02:04Back in the spring.

02:05Look at that.

02:06Joe Biden was only getting 28 percent of the 2020 non-voters.

02:09Look at where Kamala Harris is now.

02:10She's getting 43 percent of those voters, a 15 point jump.

02:14So Kamala Harris is doing two things here.

02:17Number one, she's getting more of those untraditional voters.

02:19And number two, she's coalescing that Democratic base.

02:22Are you seeing signs in other polling of the Harris momentum as well?

02:26Yeah.

02:27OK.

02:28So if it's just one poll, I'm not that interested.

02:29But take a look here.

02:30This is among those certain to vote.

02:32This is the Democrat versus Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin.

02:35This is an Ipsos poll that came out last week.

02:37Look at this.

02:38The June margin.

02:39Biden versus Trump.

02:40We see Trump was up by two.

02:42Very similar to what we saw in those New York Times-Siena conference.

02:45Look at where we are now in this August margin.

02:48Look at that.

02:49Plus two for Harris.

02:50So again, a four point movement towards Harris.

02:53And the last thing I'll note, look at this.

02:55If Harris just wins up in the Great Lakes, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, she

02:59can lose Arizona, Nevada and Georgia and she gets to exactly 270 electoral votes.

03:05All right.

03:06So momentum it is.

03:07Momentum it is.

03:08Thank you, Harry.

03:10Siena's Isaac Dover is here with the very latest.

03:11How does the Harris team view things this morning, Isaac?

03:15Well, look, John, they obviously are glad to see good poll numbers following a good

03:21couple of weeks for for the vice president since she got into this campaign.

03:25Remember, we're only talking about three weeks here since Joe Biden dropped out.

03:29But they're trying not to get too ahead of themselves.

03:33Harris herself was in San Francisco yesterday at a fundraiser.

03:35And she said to donors there that she's never been one to really believe in the polls, whether

03:40they're up or they're down.

03:41What we know is the stakes are so high and we can't take nothing for granted in this

03:45moment.

03:46What the Harris campaign is focused on here is making sure that people don't get feel

03:52like the race is done, feel like they don't have to do a lot of the work here.

03:57There are very few people who believe that this race won't come down to a couple of hundred

04:03thousand voters at most between a couple of states.

04:06And that's the sort of thing that could even doesn't matter where the popular vote goes,

04:10could end up swinging the Electoral College.

04:13It's amazing to think about Democrats talking about complacency when just three and a half

04:16weeks ago it was Republicans talking about complacency there.

04:20So what does the week have in store in terms of a policy rollout?

04:23And I guess the first ever appearance between President Biden and Kamala Harris since he

04:29has left the race.

04:31Yeah, we saw them briefly on the tarmac when that prisoner exchange happened at Andrews

04:35Air Force Base.

04:36But this will be an event on Thursday in Maryland, right outside D.C. with the two of them there

04:41together.

04:42And that is it put out as an official government event, not as a campaign event exactly.

04:48But they clearly are going to be doing it in the sense of passing the torch.

04:52What the White House has told us so far is that it will be focused on lowering costs

04:55for Americans.

04:56And what that is important is because not only is it Harris and Biden talking about

05:00economic issues, but it's the two of them staying very closely connected to each other.

05:05And that is something that we've seen since Harris got into this race.

05:08Even as the Republicans in the Trump campaign have tried to say that Biden's record is bad

05:13and Harris is tied to it in a bad way.

05:15That's not the approach that they're taking.

05:17I think they're very great to see this morning.

05:19Always great to have you on in the morning.

05:20Appreciate it, Sarah.

05:21All right.

05:22Here we go again.

05:23False claims about crowd size from Donald Trump, but even more talk about Kamala Harris's

05:27race and childless cat ladies from his running mate, J.D. Vance.

05:32Just a few of the new and familiar lines of attack we heard this weekend as Donald Trump

05:38tonight sits down for an interview with Elon Musk.

05:41Let's bring in CNN's Steve Contorno.

05:43Steve, some Republicans want to see more discipline, as you heard from Isaac DeVere, a message

05:47from Trump going after Harris.

05:51But is that what they're getting?

05:54Certainly doesn't seem so far, Sarah.

05:56I think scattershot is probably the best word to describe what we saw from the former president

06:03over the weekend.

06:04He made fun of Senator Jon Tester's weight, the Democrat in Montana.

06:09He called Tim Waltz, quote, very freakish.

06:12He said Harris, Waltz supporters were pink haired Marxist looters, perverts, flag burners,

06:19Hamas supporters, drug dealers, gun grabbers and human traffickers.

06:24And he also continued to be fixated on the crowd size of what Vice President Harris is

06:32getting versus his own.

06:33In fact, in a series of social media posts, he he he shared debunked footage and claims

06:42that Harris was doctoring her crowd size.

06:46These were A.I. images that they were sharing.

06:48He said that she should be disqualified because they fake their crowd sizes when these photos

06:55were easily debunked.

06:56Meanwhile, his running mate continues to be answering questions about some of his past

07:02statements and trying to focus the attacks more on what they say are the anti-family

07:08policies of the Harris-Waltz ticket.

07:11Take a listen to what J.D. Vance told our CNN over the weekend.

07:14I think that what it is is two people, Kamala Harris and Tim Waltz, who aren't comfortable

07:21in their own skin because they aren't comfortable with their policy positions for the American

07:24people.

07:25And so their name calling instead of actually telling the American people how they're going

07:29to make their lives better.

07:30I think that's weird, Dana, but look, they can call me whatever they want to.

07:33Do you believe Kamala Harris is black?

07:36I believe that Kamala Harris is whatever she says she is.

07:40But I believe, importantly, that President Trump is right, that she's a chameleon.

07:44She pretends to be one thing in front of one audience.

07:50Now still not much campaign action from Donald Trump this week, though he will, as you said,

07:55Sarah, speak to Elon Musk later today.

07:58J.D. Vance, meanwhile, will be more active on the campaign trail in the coming days.

08:02Steve, just curious what you can tell me about the Trump campaign saying that they have been

08:06hacked.

08:07What do we know on that front?

08:10Yeah, there's still a lot we're still trying to figure out about this.

08:14The Trump campaign claims that a quote, high ranking official in the campaign was hacked

08:22from Microsoft by Iranian hackers.

08:25Now, Iran, we should say, has so far denied this and is unclear if Iran was responsible.

08:31Microsoft has so far declined to comment.

08:33The U.S. government has sort of not shared any details that it has had at this point.

08:39This is all stemming from Politico reporting over the weekend that it had received emails,

08:44including internal communications and a research dossier on J.D. Vance that the campaign had

08:51put together.

08:52The campaign in a statement saying these documents were obtained illegally from foreign

08:56sources hostile to the United States, trying to sow chaos throughout our democratic process.

09:01I should note, Sarah, that Donald Trump was the recipient of this kind of foreign interference

09:08back in 2016.

09:09He actually encouraged Russia to go after Senator Clinton's emails and then continue

09:14to talk about them well into the race.

09:17We all remember that.

09:19Steve Contorno, thank you so much.

09:20Appreciate your reporting this morning.

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