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Tesla As A Long-Term Investment: "I Think If They Solve FSD, Tesla Is A $1000 Stock"
Benzinga
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8/8/2024
Benzinga's Premarket Prep co-host Dennis Dick talks about his Tesla position in his long-term portfolio.
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Transcript
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00:00
Pablo asked me and multiple people have asked me this,
00:04
what do you do in the long-term account?
00:05
Are you buying stuff or are you buying stuff?
00:06
I did a little bit of nibbling.
00:09
I bought a little, like I said,
00:10
I've been dollar-cost averaging into Tesla.
00:12
Thinking of five-year time horizon,
00:14
this is not a trade, so I bought a little bit more again.
00:17
I've bought Tesla probably 10 times
00:19
over the course of the last six months.
00:20
I just buy every week and make a little bit trading,
00:22
put a little bit more in Tesla every week.
00:24
I've been picking on Tesla.
00:26
I sold out of a lot of my IWM long-term position yesterday.
00:31
That was one thing I did on the rip.
00:33
And the reason was a lot,
00:35
Jim Tassone was talking about
00:36
that there's just a lot of companies
00:38
and they're just crappy.
00:39
And this has been underperforming for so long.
00:41
I've had the IWM there for a couple of years.
00:43
It's just been junk.
00:44
I had a good rip yesterday.
00:46
I sold right near the open,
00:47
so I was pretty happy actually after we sold off.
00:50
I still have a small piece of IWM, but it's very small.
00:53
I probably would put that back into the queues
00:55
at a certain point in time.
00:56
Just, you know what, it's just a tech economy.
00:59
It's just not a small cap world anymore.
01:01
And sitting here, positioning for a catch-up trade,
01:04
I just think this catch-up trade,
01:06
people have been trying to call for a long time.
01:08
It's just not coming.
01:09
I did try to buy a little bit more SMCI yesterday,
01:13
but then I was like, you know what?
01:14
It's just too weak.
01:16
So I'm not gonna catch the falling knife here on SMCI.
01:19
Down five bucks in this space.
01:21
It's just so weak.
01:23
And I don't want it to fall.
01:24
And Intel has been an epic disaster for me.
01:26
I don't want SMCI to become another Intel like that.
01:28
I don't think it is.
01:30
But I think, you know, if you're sitting here
01:31
just trying to catch the falling knife,
01:33
man, knives are really hard to catch right now.
01:37
What about, and this is a question here
01:39
and I've scarred Joe Rabbit, and I'm-
01:41
Just before, I wanna keep clarifying,
01:43
because this chat, you know,
01:44
and Twitter is so short-term focused.
01:48
I don't, they keep saying,
01:50
Dennis thinks FSD is coming tomorrow.
01:52
I don't.
01:53
That's why I'm dollar cost averaging in
01:55
because I don't know the timing of it.
01:57
I'm not buying.
01:58
Somebody said, why don't you buy leaps on Tesla?
01:59
One, the premiums are too high.
02:01
And two, I don't know the timing of FSD.
02:04
I think it could be two years from now.
02:06
I think it changes everything though,
02:08
once he figures it out.
02:09
I'm betting that he figures it out.
02:11
If he doesn't figure it out,
02:12
if Tesla does not figure out FSD,
02:14
Tesla stock is going to go lower.
02:16
If you're in it, you're betting on FSD.
02:19
I think the humanoids is going to be huge too,
02:21
but that's a long ways out.
02:22
So I'm positioning long-term, short-term.
02:26
I have no trade on in Tesla, no trade,
02:29
not in the short-term account folks.
02:31
It's not there.
02:33
It's in my long-term account.
02:35
So quit saying that I think FSD is coming tomorrow.
02:39
I don't think it's coming tomorrow,
02:40
but I think when it comes,
02:42
I think it's a game changer.
02:44
And I think Tesla's going to figure it out.
02:45
I think the key word, I know nothing.
02:48
I have no crystal ball,
02:50
but I don't want to be not invested in Tesla.
02:53
And then they start to really go someplace
02:55
where they actually getting closer to figure it out.
02:56
I don't know the timing of FSD,
02:58
but I think if you have five years minimum,
03:02
five to 10 year time horizon on Tesla,
03:05
I think you're okay here.
03:07
I think it's going to be a really good one.
03:08
Five to 10 years.
03:09
If you have a five day time horizon,
03:12
you're nuts for trying to buy Tesla
03:13
and call the bottom right now.
03:15
So know your time horizon,
03:16
know why you're in the stock.
03:18
I am not in it for a trade.
03:20
I'm sticking in my RRSP,
03:22
registered retirement savings plan in the long-term account,
03:26
not for a trade in the long-term account.
03:30
Quick technical, I haven't pulled up Tesla in a while.
03:34
For you shorter term traders or swing traders,
03:37
man, got a triple top here at 203.50.
03:40
That's a nine bucks away.
03:42
So if you're looking for a sustained rebound, boom,
03:45
you got to take out that area.
03:46
For right now, I'll say there's decent support at 192.
03:51
So if you're in it,
03:52
trying to pick a bottom for the swing trade,
03:55
I think you cut it at 192 and 180 looks like, man,
03:59
because you had all that noise here.
04:01
I would, if this came down-
04:02
It doesn't look good technically.
04:04
It's 175 to 180.
04:06
If it came down there and did one of these patterns,
04:09
then I might even join you, Dennis.
04:11
If it comes down to this area, I might even join you.
04:13
And again, Joel, you're talking trading.
04:16
Elon Musk said it best.
04:18
We need to separate it.
04:19
Elon Musk said it best.
04:20
If you think Tesla's going to solve FSD, you buy Tesla.
04:23
If you think Tesla's not going to solve FSD, you sell Tesla.
04:27
This is a binary bet.
04:29
I think if they solve FSD, Tesla's $1,000 stock.
04:32
I think if they solve FSD.
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