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TEDxNewy 2011: Peter Saul discusses Dying in 21st century Australia | Newcastle Herald | August 3, 2024
Newcastle Herald
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8/3/2024
Video: TEDx Newy / Youtube
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00:00
Figaro, Figaro, Figaro, Figaro!
00:13
Look, I had second thoughts really about whether I could talk about this
00:17
to such a vital and alive audience as you guys.
00:20
But then I remembered the quote from Gloria Steinem, which goes,
00:24
The truth will set you free, but first it will piss you off.
00:32
So with that in mind, I'm going to set about trying to do those things here
00:36
and talk about dying in the 21st century.
00:38
Now, the first thing that will piss you off, undoubtedly,
00:40
is that all of us are, in fact, going to die in the 21st century.
00:44
There will be no exceptions to that.
00:46
There are apparently about one in eight of you who think you're immortal on surveys,
00:51
but unfortunately this isn't going to happen.
00:58
While I give this talk, in the next ten minutes,
01:00
100 million of my cells will die.
01:03
And over the course of today, 2,000 of my brain cells will die and never come back.
01:08
So you could argue that the dying process starts pretty early in the piece.
01:13
Anyway, the second thing I want to say about dying in the 21st century,
01:15
apart from it's going to happen to everybody,
01:17
is it's shaping up to be a bit of a train wreck for most of us,
01:22
unless we do something to try and reclaim this process
01:25
from the rather inexorable trajectory that it's currently on.
01:28
So there you go. That's the truth.
01:30
No doubt that will piss you off.
01:31
Now let's see whether we can set you free.
01:33
I don't promise anything.
01:35
Now, as you heard in the intro, I work in intensive care.
01:38
And I think I've kind of lived through the heyday of intensive care.
01:41
This has been a ride, man. This has been fantastic.
01:43
We have machines that go ping.
01:45
There's many of them up there.
01:47
And we have some wizard technology, which I think has worked really well.
01:51
And over the course of the time I've worked in intensive care,
01:54
the death rate for males in Australia has halved.
01:56
And intensive care has had something to do with that.
01:58
Certainly a lot of the technologies that we use have got something to do with that.
02:02
So we have had tremendous success.
02:04
And we kind of got caught up in our own success quite a bit.
02:07
And we started using expressions like life-saving.
02:11
I really apologise to everybody for doing that, because obviously we don't.
02:14
What we do is prolong people's lives and delay death and redirect death.
02:20
But we can't, strictly speaking, save lives on any sort of permanent basis.
02:24
And what's really happened over the period of time that I've been working in intensive care
02:28
is that the people whose lives we started saving back in the 70s, 80s and 90s
02:34
are now coming to die in the 21st century
02:37
of diseases that we no longer have the answers to in quite the way we did then.
02:43
So what's happening now is there's been a big shift in the way that people die.
02:47
And most of what they're dying of now isn't as amenable to what we can do
02:51
as what it used to be like when I was doing this in the 80s and 90s.
02:56
So we kind of got a bit caught up with this.
02:59
And we haven't really squared with you guys about what's really happening now.
03:03
And it's about time we did.
03:07
I kind of woke up to this a bit in the late 90s when I met this guy.
03:11
And this guy is called Jim, Jim Smith.
03:15
And he looked like this.
03:16
I was called down to the ward to see him.
03:18
His is the little hand.
03:20
I was called down to the ward to see him by a respiratory physician.
03:23
He said, look, there's a guy down here, he's got pneumonia.
03:27
And he looks like he needs intensive care.
03:29
His daughter's here and she wants everything possible to be done.
03:34
Which is a familiar phrase to us.
03:36
So I go down to the ward and see Jim.
03:38
And his skin is translucent like this.
03:40
You can see his bones through the skin.
03:42
He's very, very thin.
03:44
And he is indeed very sick with pneumonia.
03:47
And he's too sick to talk to me.
03:49
So I talk to his daughter, Kathleen, and I say to her,
03:54
did you and Jim ever talk about what you would want done
03:58
if he ended up in this kind of situation?
04:00
And she looked at me and she said, no, of course not.
04:04
I thought, okay, take this steady.
04:08
And I got talking to her.
04:10
And after a while, she said to me,
04:12
you know, we always thought there'd be time.
04:15
Jim was 94.
04:18
And I realised that something wasn't happening here.
04:21
There wasn't this dialogue going on that I imagined was happening.
04:25
So a group of us started doing survey work
04:28
and we looked at 4,500 nursing home residents in Newcastle,
04:32
in the Newcastle area,
04:34
and discovered that only one in a hundred of them
04:37
had a plan about what to do when their heart stopped beating.
04:40
One in a hundred.
04:42
And only one in 500 of them
04:44
had a plan about what to do if they became seriously ill.
04:48
I realised, of course,
04:50
this dialogue is definitely not occurring in the public at large.
04:55
I work in acute care.
04:57
This is John Hunter Hospital.
04:59
And I thought, surely we do better than that.
05:02
So a colleague of mine from nursing, called Lisa Shaw,
05:05
and I went through hundreds and hundreds of sets of notes
05:08
in their medical records department,
05:10
looking at whether there was any sign at all
05:12
that anybody had any conversation about what might happen to them
05:15
if the treatment they were receiving
05:17
was unsuccessful to the point that they would die.
05:19
And we didn't find a single record
05:21
of any preference about goals, treatments or outcomes
05:25
from any of the sets of notes initiated by a doctor or by a patient.
05:30
So we started to realise that we had a problem.
05:35
And the problem is more serious because of this.
05:40
What we know is that obviously we are all going to die,
05:43
but how we die is actually really important.
05:46
Obviously not just to us,
05:48
but also to how that features in the lives
05:51
of all the people who live on afterwards.
05:53
How we die lives on in the minds of everybody who survives us.
05:57
And the stress created in families by dying is enormous.
06:02
And in fact you get seven times as much stress
06:04
by dying in intensive care as by dying just about anywhere else.
06:07
So dying in intensive care is not your top option if you've got a choice.
06:13
And if that wasn't bad enough, of course,
06:15
all of this is rapidly progressing towards the fact that many of you,
06:18
in fact about one in ten of you at this point,
06:20
will die in intensive care.
06:22
In the US it's one in five.
06:23
In Miami it's three out of five people die in intensive care.
06:26
So this is the sort of momentum that we've got at the moment.
06:31
The reason why this is all happening is due to this.
06:33
And I do have to take you through what this is about.
06:36
These are the four ways to go.
06:38
So one of these will happen to all of us.
06:40
The ones you may know most about
06:42
are the ones that are becoming increasingly of historical interest.
06:46
Sudden death.
06:47
It's quite likely in an audience this size
06:49
this won't happen to anybody here.
06:51
Sudden death has become very rare.
06:53
The death of little Nell and Cordelia and all that sort of stuff
06:56
just doesn't happen anymore.
06:58
The dying process of those with terminal illness that we've just seen
07:02
occurs to younger people.
07:04
By the time you've reached 80, this is unlikely to happen to you.
07:07
Only one in ten people who are over 80 will die of cancer.
07:11
The big growth industry are these.
07:15
What you die of is increasing organ failure
07:18
with your respiratory, cardiac, renal, whatever organs packing up.
07:22
Each of these would be an admission to an acute care hospital
07:25
at the end of which or at some point during which
07:27
somebody says enough is enough and we stop.
07:30
This one's the biggest growth industry of all
07:32
and at least six out of ten of the people in this room will die of this form
07:36
which is the dwindling of capacity with increasing frailty.
07:43
Frailty is an inevitable part of ageing
07:45
and increasing frailty is in fact the main thing that people die of now.
07:50
The last few years or last year of your life
07:52
is spent with a great deal of disability, unfortunately.
07:56
Enjoying it so far?
08:02
Sorry, I feel such a Cassandra here.
08:10
What can I say that's positive?
08:12
What's positive is that this is happening at a very great age now.
08:15
We are all, most of us, living to reach this point.
08:18
Historically we didn't do that.
08:19
This is what happens to you when you live to be a great age.
08:23
Unfortunately, increasing longevity does mean more old age, not more youth.
08:27
I'm sorry to say that.
08:33
What we did anyway, look, what we did,
08:35
we didn't just take this lying down at John Hunter Hospital and elsewhere.
08:38
We've started a whole series of projects to try and look about
08:40
whether we could in fact involve people much more
08:43
in the way that things happen to them.
08:46
We realise, of course, that we are dealing with cultural issues.
08:49
I love this Klimt painting because the more you look at it,
08:52
the more you kind of get the whole issue that's going on here,
08:55
which is clearly the separation of death from the living and the fear.
08:59
If you actually look, there's one woman there who has her eyes open.
09:03
She's the one he's looking at and he's the one he's coming for.
09:07
Can you see that?
09:08
She looks terrifying.
09:10
It's an amazing picture.
09:12
Anyway, we had a major cultural issue.
09:14
Clearly people didn't want us to talk about death.
09:16
Oh, we thought that.
09:17
So with loads of funding from the federal government
09:19
and the local health service,
09:20
we introduced the thing at John Hunter called respecting patient choices.
09:24
We trained hundreds of people to go to the wards
09:27
and talk to people about the fact that they would die
09:30
and what would they prefer under those circumstances.
09:32
They loved it.
09:33
The families and the patients, they loved it.
09:36
98% of people really thought this just should be normal practice
09:39
and that this is how things should work.
09:43
When they expressed wishes, all of those wishes came true, as it were.
09:46
We were able to make that happen for them.
09:49
But then when the funding ran out, we went back to look six months later
09:52
and everybody had stopped again.
09:55
Nobody was having these conversations anymore.
09:58
So that was really kind of heartbreaking for us
10:00
because we thought this was going to really take off.
10:03
The cultural issue had reasserted itself.
10:07
So here's the pitch.
10:08
I think it's important that we don't just get on this freeway to ICU
10:13
without thinking hard about whether or not that's where we all want to end up,
10:16
particularly as we become older and increasingly frail,
10:19
and ICU has less and less and less to offer us.
10:22
There has to be a little side road off there
10:27
for people who don't want to go on that track.
10:30
And I have one small idea and one big idea about what could happen.
10:37
And this is a small idea.
10:38
The small idea is let's all of us engage more with this
10:42
in the way that Jason has illustrated.
10:44
Why can't we have these kinds of conversations with our own elders
10:48
and people who might be approaching this?
10:51
There are a couple of things you can do.
10:52
One of them is you can just ask this simple question.
10:56
This question never fails.
10:58
In the event that you became too sick to speak for yourself,
11:01
who would you like to speak for you?
11:04
That's a really important question to ask people
11:06
because giving people the control over who that is
11:09
produces an amazing outcome.
11:11
The second thing you can say is,
11:12
have you spoken to that person about the things that are important to you
11:16
so that we can get a better idea of what it is we can do?
11:20
So that's a little idea.
11:22
The big idea I think is more political.
11:24
I think we have to get on to this.
11:26
I suggested we should have occupied death.
11:32
My wife said, yeah, right, sit-ins in the mortuary.
11:35
Yeah, yeah, sure.
11:37
So that one didn't really run.
11:39
But I was very struck by this.
11:41
I'm an ageing hippie.
11:42
I don't think I look like that anymore.
11:45
Two of my kids were born at home in the 80s
11:48
when home birth was a big thing.
11:50
We baby boomers are used to taking charge of the situation.
11:54
So if you just replace all these words of birth,
11:57
I like peace, love, natural death as an option.
12:00
I do think we have to get political
12:02
and start to reclaim this process from the medicalised model
12:05
in which it's going.
12:06
Now, listen, that sounds like a pitch for euthanasia.
12:08
I want to make it absolutely crystal clear to you all,
12:10
I hate euthanasia.
12:11
I think it's a sideshow.
12:13
I don't think euthanasia matters.
12:15
I actually think that in places like Oregon
12:20
where you can have physician-assisted suicide,
12:23
you take a poisonous dose of stuff,
12:25
only half a percent of people ever do that.
12:27
I'm more interested in what happens to the 99.5% of people
12:30
who don't want to do that.
12:32
I think most people don't want to be dead,
12:34
but I do think most people want to have some control
12:36
over how their dying process proceeds.
12:39
So I'm opposed to euthanasia,
12:40
but I do think we have to give people back some control.
12:43
It deprives euthanasia of its oxygen supply.
12:46
I think we should be looking at stopping the want for euthanasia,
12:49
not for making it illegal or legal or worrying about it at all.
12:53
This is a quote from Dame Cicely Saunders,
12:57
whom I met when I was a medical student.
12:59
She founded the hospice movement,
13:02
and she says,
13:03
You matter because you are,
13:04
and you matter to the last moment of your life.
13:06
And I firmly believe that that's the message
13:09
that we have to carry forward.
13:12
Thank you.
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