Djokovic Chasing Eighth Wimbledon Title Against Odds

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00:00Yeah, and look, I mean, the odds are telling us, basically, it's not bettable as far as

00:09the money line on this.

00:10Maybe there's another way to bet this on FanDuel, but Jokovic, as we just saw, minus 9.50 on

00:15the money line, Lusetti plus 6.10.

00:18And you mentioned historical perspective.

00:19I mean, that's kind of where Jokovic is at this point.

00:23And players from the past, I mean, I remember that incredible run Pete Sampras has, everybody

00:27remembers Roger Federer over the last 20 years, incredible eight championships, Sampras

00:31seven.

00:32Jokovic is chasing his eighth Wimbledon title.

00:35I'm not all that familiar with William Renshaw or Lawrence Dougherty, but I am familiar with

00:40the others.

00:41So I guess if he wins this one, he ties Federer.

00:44And I suppose there would be no stopping him, Kenny, like he could probably try and break

00:49it next year.

00:50Yeah, I mean, I'm not familiar with them either.

00:54That was way before my time.

00:55So no, that's definitely something that is in play here.

00:59I mean, I think winning this on a bum knee, right, almost on one and a half legs would

01:04be very, very impressive.

01:05And I think especially with the way Carlos Alcaraz played today, I thought last year

01:09in the final, Jokovic should have won.

01:11It was a pretty poor performance from him.

01:14I'm a little worried about the knee.

01:17I still am.

01:18I think that, like I said, he hasn't really been pushed enough on it, and he's going to

01:21get pushed in a big way against Alcaraz.

01:24So, you know, I also am worried the fact that he's sort of tried to incite the crowd

01:27to get against him, because that is generally what we see from Jokovic when he knows he's

01:32a little concerned that he needs a little extra to get through these matches if you

01:35want to play a psychological game.

01:38But yeah, I mean, look, eight Wimbledon's would be would be stellar.

01:40I think, you know, you're looking at a guy right here who's only lost four times on grass

01:44since 2013, which is just absolutely spectacular.

01:47And in this match today, yeah, I think the best way to bet it is the under 34 and a half

01:51games.

01:52So if you look at the two meetings they've had on quicker courts, on hard courts, Mousseti

01:57has won just nine games in four sets they've played.

02:00And over his career, Mousseti is a 500 player on hard courts.

02:04So this is a guy that's done very good work on clay.

02:07That's why he's in.

02:08He's risen to the top 20.

02:10But this is a guy that does not have the game to play on grass, his top spins hit with way

02:14too much forehand.

02:15He doesn't have enough force behind the serve.

02:17It's very erratic.

02:18I thought he was very fortunate to run into Taylor Fritz in the in the quarterfinals who

02:22just gave that match away.

02:25You know, not a good player under pressure, really crumbled in that match and gave Mousseti

02:30a way to win that match in the fifth.

02:31So I do think that this is a much different situation here.

02:34And Mousseti for all the work that he's done against Djokovic, you know, all of his storied

02:39matches against Djokovic have featured blown leads.

02:41He had a two sets to one lead to get the French Open.

02:43I had a two sets to love lead at the French Open when they first played a couple of years

02:47ago.

02:48And then Mousseti won one game in the next two and a half sets before retiring at four

02:51love in the in the fifth set on what was a phantom injury.

02:55He was not hurt.

02:56He was just his brain was maybe hurt.

02:58His feelings were hurt.

02:59But yeah, this is I think this is going to be a pretty quick match when you just look

03:02at the way that Mousseti plays on faster surfaces, especially against Djokovic, despite the fact

03:07that Djokovic may not be 100 percent.

03:09I would think he's probably at 85 percent right now.

03:12He still should be able to do this because the last few rounds, he's just had the same

03:17sort of opponents who have been trying to just play a big game, hit through them, just

03:21take the matches of their own hands.

03:22And it has not worked out.

03:23Rarely does against Djokovic.

03:24So I would think that this match goes under the total.

03:27That's probably the best way to play it.

03:29I did get some questions about maybe playing the first set, but I would actually think

03:33Mousseti keeps the first set relatively close and then and then falls away.

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