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Poor from the heat: India’s climate change challenge
DW (English)
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6/17/2024
More and more sun, more and more heat. Climate change not only endangers the health of hundreds of thousands of people, but also reduces their earnings. What are countries like India doing to slow down climate change and minimize the damage?
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00:00
More and more sun. More and more heat.
00:03
Climate change is endangering the health of hundreds of thousands.
00:07
It will also mean less income.
00:09
By mid-century, we will earn significantly less than we would without the climate crisis.
00:15
How high will the cost be?
00:17
So up until about 2050,
00:19
we see that the world economy is going to be projected to a decline in income of 19%.
00:25
Take India, for example.
00:27
Economically, it stands to lose with climate change.
00:30
Heat and drought are damaging agriculture.
00:33
And who will bring in the harvest when temperatures are so hot?
00:38
It's 40 degrees Celsius right now at 5 pm in Delhi.
00:43
4-0 degrees Celsius, yes.
00:45
At least during peak hours of, say, 11 to 4,
00:49
it's really not possible to work outdoors.
00:54
Heat and drought.
00:56
These consequences of climate change also threaten many African countries.
01:00
The economic impact is enormous.
01:03
Labour productivity and crop productivity,
01:07
these show clear responses to temperatures,
01:10
where in particular their productivity declines at high temperatures around 20 to 30 degrees.
01:15
And of course, global warming is causing the greatest damage where it's already hot today.
01:21
In the middle of the century,
01:22
the regions south of the equator will generate significantly less income
01:27
than they would have without the climate crisis.
01:30
Which brings us back to India.
01:32
The population there will lose 22% of its 2050 income by the middle of the century,
01:39
although a few will benefit.
01:42
Manufacturers of air conditioning systems are experiencing a boom,
01:46
with major social consequences, however.
01:52
Because as it gets hotter, the need for air conditioning multiplies,
01:56
and more and more households can afford them.
01:59
The problem? The high power consumption.
02:03
With the increasing heat,
02:05
of course the power sector needs to prepare itself for an excessive demand in coming years,
02:11
and the infrastructure needs to be built on those lines.
02:14
So far, however, most electricity in India has been generated from coal.
02:19
Its enormous emissions are again driving global warming.
02:23
It's a vicious circle.
02:25
What to do? Many are pinning their hopes on technical progress.
02:30
Of course, we will need energy efficient air conditioners
02:34
to reduce the energy demand for this,
02:37
which can really peak to multi-fold demand
02:40
compared to the current energy demand in India.
02:47
India has adopted a national action plan.
02:50
Among other things, buildings are to be modified so that they heat up less quickly,
02:55
and new buildings should be oriented according to old models.
02:59
India also wants to expand renewable energies.
03:03
However, this is happening far too slowly,
03:05
a problem for the whole world and the next generation,
03:09
because the climate crisis will not be ending in the middle of the century.
03:13
Quite the opposite.
03:17
A Paris-compatible world, let's say, has much smaller damages on the range of 20%,
03:22
whereas a high-warming scenario has much larger damages on the range of 50%.
03:28
If you weren't convinced before, climate researchers can now prove it.
03:32
The switch to a CO2-neutral economy is expensive,
03:36
but it's worth it to avoid even greater losses of income.
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