كيف كان وضع الاقتصاد الإيراني منذ بداية عهد إبراهيم رئيسي ؟

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00:00 So, the Iranian President, Ibrahim Raisi, and his Foreign Minister, President Hussein

00:08 Amir Abdel-Hayyan, died in a helicopter crash.

00:13 What happened in the past hours is that the first deputy to the Iranian president, 68-year-old

00:20 Mohamed Mokhber, is expected to be the interim president of the country and will prepare

00:26 for new elections that will be held in the next 50 days.

00:32 The presidency of Ibrahim Raisi was supposed to begin in August 2021 and was supposed to

00:40 end in August 2025.

00:43 Now, the Western powers, whether American or European, are looking at who will be the

00:49 next president of Iran and what that will mean for the relationship between Iran and

00:55 the Western countries, especially since the Foreign Minister who died in a helicopter

01:00 crash is considered one of the hardliners, meaning that he is strict in foreign policy

01:06 for Iran with the Western powers.

01:08 These are the most important events that we have seen in the presidency.

01:14 We had the wave of popular protests in September 2022, which was a series of demonstrations

01:21 following the murder of an Iranian young woman who was detained by the Iranian government.

01:28 We had the resumption of relations with Saudi Arabia, the return of rapprochement with Egypt

01:32 and the exchange of direct attacks with Israel for the first time after the Israeli war

01:38 on Gaza, which to a large extent shed light on this file and affected the view of the

01:45 Western countries on the importance of reaching a nuclear agreement with Iran.

01:52 The riots that Iran suffered during the last period of US administration were also among

01:59 the highlights or the focus areas for the Ibrahim Raisi era.

02:05 At first, we had riots in Iran that allowed for procedures for limited transactions, such

02:11 as allowing Iraq to transfer $10 billion to Iran and cancel future payments in Iranian

02:17 bank accounts in Oman.

02:19 In 2023, we had the cancellation of Biden's administration to freeze $6 billion of Iranian

02:25 assets in South Korea, which was converted into the euro currency.

02:30 This is the situation in the Iranian economy in the presidency.

02:34 Of course, the Iranian economy is a profitable economy, meaning that it relies very heavily

02:40 on oil revenues, despite the economic sanctions imposed by Western countries on Iran, to the

02:46 extent that Iran was dealing with oil exports, mainly with countries that did not adopt

02:52 these sanctions, such as China, for example.

02:56 When we talk about these sanctions, it is important to remember that what happened

03:02 to the sanctions chain is the signing of the Iranian nuclear agreement in 2015.

03:08 Former US President Donald Trump voluntarily withdrew from this agreement.

03:13 In the Biden administration's 2021 term, the US administration sought to revive this

03:19 nuclear agreement, but the Israeli war on Gaza complicated the matter greatly.

03:26 The situation with regard to the numbers of Iranian smog is also not positive, especially

03:31 because we had great pressure on Iranian rials.

03:35 This is a deep number of smog, especially since Iran imports a lot of goods from abroad.

03:43 This makes it difficult and increases the cost of living in Iran.

03:48 These numbers for the expected number of smog in 2024, which is 37.5% of the total, are

03:58 considered to be a good number for Iran.

04:01 As for the unemployment rate, we are talking about numbers between 9.9% and 8.9%, according

04:08 to the IMF.

04:10 All eyes will now be on Iran's future in a new presidential term.

04:15 Will foreign policy change?

04:18 Is it possible to witness a different deal from Western countries with Iran?

04:23 This is the most important question.

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