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连续5次没调涨 国行利率维持3%
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3/7/2024
新闻报报看 | 国家银行今年第二度议息结果出炉,一如市场预期,宣布按兵不动,将隔夜政策利率OPR维持在3%。国行上一次升息,是在去年5月份,从2.75%调高25个基点至3%,而之后直到现在的5场议息会议,都维持利率在3%。(主播:梁宝仪、黄宇恒)
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00:00
The second round of interest rates in the national bank this year is out of the debt,
00:03
and as expected, the market announced that it would not move,
00:07
and that the interest rate of the OPR will be maintained at 3%.
00:11
The last time the national bank raised interest rates was in May last year,
00:14
from 2.75% to 25 points, to 3%.
00:19
And since then, the five-day interest rate meeting has maintained interest rates at 3%.
00:25
The national bank issued a statement today that the current monetary policy position
00:28
is still sufficient to support economic growth
00:31
and meets the assessment results of the current inflation and economic prospects.
00:35
The Monetary Policy Committee will remain vigilant about the latest market situation
00:40
and will ensure that the monetary policy position continues to benefit economic growth
00:44
in a stable price.
00:47
The national bank has reiterated its recent decline in interest rates.
00:51
With the current economic fundamentals and growth prospects of our country,
00:55
the interest rate of the OPR has indeed been underestimated.
00:57
The government and the national bank have already taken coordinated actions
01:01
to further encourage government-related companies and government-related investment companies
01:06
to convert foreign investment income into foreign currency.
01:10
These actions can drive capital flow back,
01:13
while further supporting the stable growth of foreign currency.
01:15
The national bank said that in terms of mid-term development,
01:18
the government's continued structural reorganization can also stabilize foreign currency.
01:22
With the five-day interest rate meeting,
01:25
the OPR has maintained a 3% level of growth.
01:29
This is also in line with the market survey results of 31 economists from Bloomberg.
01:35
Although China's inflation rate has fallen from 4.7% in August 2022
01:40
to 1.5% in January this year,
01:44
economists predict that the price pressure in the second half of this year will rise.
01:49
Therefore, the national bank is unlikely to cut interest rates.
01:53
It is worth mentioning that economists even believe that
01:56
the current 3% interest rate level will last at least two years to 2026.
02:04
Zada Bank believes that the national bank is unlikely to support the interest rate by cutting interest rates,
02:08
because this will not help our country's economic prospects and inflation.
02:13
The interest rate trend is weak and further restricts the national bank's cut interest rates
02:17
to support the country's economic growth.
02:20
With the national bank firmly maintaining the interest rate,
02:23
this measure seems to help stabilize the currency exchange rate,
02:26
making it one of the leading currencies in the Asian new market today.
02:31
The dollar fell once in February to a 4.8-dollar level,
02:36
and even faced a risk of falling to the lowest 4.885-dollar level in history.
02:41
However, the dollar is back to a level above 4.7 today.
02:46
As of 4 p.m. this afternoon, the dollar rose 0.66% to 4.699,
02:53
and the new dollar rose 0.47% to 3.5165.
02:59
But I don't know if the dollar is really over the risk of a strong rebound,
03:06
or just a flash in the pan.
03:08
[MUSIC]
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