Betting NFL: Analyzing OBJ's Yards and Andrews' Props

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00:00 (upbeat music)

00:03 - I took a long shot on OBJ to lead this game

00:06 in receiving yards.

00:07 That was at 22 to one.

00:08 I don't think it's gonna happen, right?

00:10 But I thought that the value was there

00:12 because the reality is for me,

00:13 I think Travis Kelsey is gonna get minimized

00:16 by the secondary and the great linebacking core

00:19 of the Baltimore Ravens.

00:20 And I just, I don't know, maybe 50, 60 yards

00:24 leads this game in receiving.

00:25 I don't see a ton of like outstanding big receiving threats.

00:29 Rashid Rice would probably be the next closest guy.

00:31 And so maybe OBJ lands up with one or two catches

00:35 in totals around 50 yards and that could get you there.

00:37 So I don't think that's gonna win.

00:39 I would not be banking on that winning.

00:41 That's why it's 22 to one.

00:43 But as it relates to Lamar and this passing attack,

00:46 look, I think that Mark Andrews,

00:47 there's massive question marks as we know.

00:50 And so when there's massive question marks,

00:51 I decided to go maybe untraditional route,

00:55 but what a lot of the sharper betters like to focus on.

00:58 And that is you fade that guy,

01:00 you fade the guy in his first game back.

01:02 So we took some under three and a half receptions.

01:04 We took some under for his receiving yards,

01:07 but then in case he is utilized a lot more in the red zone

01:12 and does end up somehow getting to four catches,

01:14 I bet him to score a touchdown.

01:16 And that obviously offsets some of the losses

01:19 that I might have if he does end up with a four plus catches,

01:22 hopefully one of those would end up being for a touchdown.

01:25 And that's like, I wanna say like plus 230, plus 240,

01:27 something along those lines.

01:29 So those, I did bet three props on Mark Andrews,

01:32 got a little bit heavy involvement in him.

01:34 They're not for large amounts,

01:36 but that's one thing that I'm looking at today.

01:38 (upbeat music)

01:41 (bells chiming)