Geno Smith's Performance in Face of Man Coverage Raises Questions

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00:00 [upbeat music]

00:02 - The Cleveland Browns utilize man coverage

00:15 at the highest rate of any defense in the NFL.

00:18 And I expect that's going to be a problem for Geno Smith

00:20 because he is the largest splits man versus zone

00:23 of any quarterback in the NFL.

00:25 When he faces zone coverage,

00:27 he is averaging 8.4 yards per attempt,

00:30 which is the fourth best in the NFL.

00:33 But when he goes up against man coverage,

00:34 he's averaging only 3.6 yards per attempt,

00:38 which is the worst out of 36 qualifying quarterbacks.

00:41 As a result, they're probably gonna have to lean more

00:43 on Kenneth Walker, their running back.

00:46 And I expect Kenneth Walker is going to have

00:47 at least one run of 17 plus yards.

00:50 The Cleveland Browns defense,

00:52 though it is good against the run,

00:53 has allowed every single running back that they faced

00:57 with at least 11 carries to pop one run

01:00 of more than 17 yards,

01:02 except for one game against the Tennessee Titans.

01:05 Otherwise, no matter who they've gone up against,

01:07 whether it's been Najee Harris or Joe Mixon

01:09 or Melvin Gordon or Christian McCaffrey

01:12 or Jonathan Taylor, they've allowed at least one long run.

01:16 I expect Kenneth Walker will be no different on Sunday.

01:19 - So Carver, hi, what do you think?

01:22 Do you think that Walker's gonna bust off a huge run

01:25 and hit that prop against that tough Cleveland defense,

01:29 even though they've allowed those plays in games this year,

01:34 does he have a big day against them and break one off?

01:37 - I don't know.

01:38 It sounds like from the practice reports this week

01:40 that he's a little banged up, Walker.

01:43 Didn't practice the other day.

01:45 I'm sure he's gonna be all right on Sunday.

01:48 I could see him getting over that number.

01:49 I like the Browns.

01:51 It's three and a half right now, flat 38.

01:53 I think the Seahawks probably win,

01:56 but I'm gonna want that extra hook there

01:58 with the three and a half.

01:59 I think the Browns can hang around.

02:00 (upbeat music)

02:03 you

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