Will Tropical Storm Tammy soon form?
AccuWeather meteorologists continue to monitor the Atlantic, and they say there's a high chance that the next storm will develop this week.
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00:00 Well, of course, we're still keeping an eye on the tropics.
00:03 We tend to get less activity, certainly in the month of October, than what we see in
00:07 September, which is hard of hurricane season.
00:09 But October, no doubt about, can still be a busy month, so we have to continue to watch.
00:13 We typically look for more homegrown development this time of the year, but there are a couple
00:17 of tropical waves we're watching.
00:19 Here they are.
00:20 By the way, this is what's left of Shawn.
00:23 There's not much left.
00:24 This will, I think, impact the northern Leeward Islands here over the next couple of days
00:28 with some rain.
00:29 All right, this tropical wave around 25 degrees west, I don't think we have to worry about
00:33 that.
00:34 It's this wave that at least is sparking some attention from me.
00:37 It's around 38 degrees west.
00:39 I was talking about this last week.
00:41 I'm going to highlight it.
00:42 Here it is.
00:44 You'll note that much of the Atlantic, I'm going to circle this, I'm going to draw on
00:49 this, much of the Atlantic, including the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean, conditions
00:55 are not favorable for development.
00:57 So this is much of the Atlantic right now is not favorable for tropical development.
01:04 This is typically what we see this time of the year.
01:07 But this wave is awfully far south and it's in the little pocket where I can see some
01:11 development.
01:12 So we're going to watch this as we move over the next couple of days.
01:15 I don't expect much in the next 24 hours, but I think this can become a tropical depression,
01:21 if not a storm later this week.
01:23 Now, the question is, where does it go later next week?
01:26 I think at some point it's going to take a turn to the north.
01:28 It may be far enough north and west that it will not impact the Leeward Islands.
01:32 I'm not sure about that yet.
01:34 But one thing I am fairly confident of, there's going to be a big dip in the jet stream along
01:39 the eastern United States this weekend and early next week.
01:42 And I think that would take this storm well away from the United States.
01:46 So that's one thing I'm pretty confident of, is that this won't have an impact on the U.S.
01:50 We'll keep an eye on it for you.
01:51 Of course, if it does become a storm, the next name is Tammy.
01:55 That would be the 18th storm within the hurricane season that runs from June through November.
02:02 But we already have 18 storms.
02:04 We had an unnamed subtropical storm during the month of January in the Atlantic.
02:09 So this would be actually storm number 20, if Tammy would form.
02:13 It's been a busy hurricane season.
02:15 When you take a look at where the storms have been, one thing that has really struck my
02:19 attention is how quiet it's been.
02:22 In the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean, we've only had a couple of storms.
02:26 Brett came through that area, Franklin, of course we had Edalia, and then we had Arlene
02:32 and Harold.
02:33 But that's it.
02:34 So these waters have been untouched and they're very warm.
02:37 And again, while we're certainly out of the heart of the hurricane season, October can
02:42 be busy and we tend to get activity where in the beginning part of the month and the
02:46 latter half of the month.
02:48 We're getting into the latter half of the month.
02:50 And the reason we start getting activity is because you start getting these troughs coming
02:54 south across the U.S.
02:56 And when you get a trough coming into the central U.S., you either stall out fronts
03:02 or you bring upper level lows into this area of warm water.
03:06 That's why we look for homegrown development.
03:08 I don't see anything in the next week, but we're going to keep an eye out.
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