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00:00 [Thongkham price has risen since the beginning of the war]

00:06 [but recently it has started to fall]

00:10 [Thongkham price in Thailand has fallen a lot]

00:13 [200 baht per baht, what is the next step for Thongkham price?]

00:17 [Today we are talking to Mr. Warachai Tangsitpakdee]

00:21 [Thongkham Community Council Chairman]

00:23 [Hello Mr. Warachai]

00:24 [Hello Mr. Warachai]

00:26 [Hello Ms. Atthaphan]

00:28 [Hello]

00:30 [Thongkham price has risen since the beginning of the war]

00:33 [but recently it has started to fall]

00:35 [What is the next step for Thongkham price?]

00:39 [If we look at Thongkham price]

00:44 [we can see that it has fallen]

00:47 [but it is not falling yet]

00:49 [It is still rising]

00:51 [The reason Thongkham price has fallen]

00:55 [is partly because of the interest rate]

00:58 [Today the interest rate is quite high]

01:02 [If we compare it to yesterday's market]

01:04 [which was at 35.9%]

01:06 [and now it is 36.9%]

01:11 [and now it is 36.4%]

01:13 [That means that the interest rate today]

01:15 [has risen by 1.2%]

01:18 [This is the main reason why the interest rate]

01:21 [and our gold price have fallen]

01:24 [but actually the gold price has not fallen]

01:26 [It is still rising]

01:28 [If we look at the spot price]

01:30 [is it still rising?]

01:32 [I have to say that in the war]

01:35 [in the middle of the country]

01:38 [the market is still worried about the risk]

01:42 [In the beginning, the market still thought that]

01:44 [if the situation here can be solved]

01:47 [Thongkham might be able to re-export]

01:50 [as before]

01:52 [But now there is no sign of a settlement]

01:55 [or a settlement]

01:57 [If we look at the situation last night]

01:59 [there was a shooting]

02:01 [The number of the dead is still high]

02:04 [It is increasing]

02:06 [It is almost 1,000 dead]

02:10 [There is no clear picture]

02:12 [of how it will end]

02:15 [And the Islam and the Armas]

02:19 [are not in the oil price]

02:25 [So this is a limited area]

02:29 [But how far can Thongkham look?]

02:33 [We have to look at the technical aspect]

02:36 [because Thongkham is actually]

02:39 [at the level of 1,875-1,185]

02:45 [If we calculate the current price]

02:49 [at 36.6]

02:52 [I will calculate it as 36.6]

02:54 [Because the price today]

02:56 [is a strong price]

02:58 [Thongkham might be able to break]

03:00 [at the level of 32,500-2,600]

03:02 [Something like this]

03:04 [But if today the price of the currency]

03:07 [goes down to 36.5]

03:10 [It means that the strong price]

03:13 [of the currency might have a negative impact]

03:15 [on the price of the currency]

03:17 [at around 300 baht]

03:19 [So what is your opinion on the way]

03:21 [to hold Thongkham?]

03:23 [Should it stay like this]

03:25 [or should it continue to invest?]

03:27 [I personally think that]

03:30 [Thongkham, the announcement of the Thongkham Stock Exchange]

03:34 [As of now, every time the Thongkham stock price]

03:37 [can drop to the level of 32,000]

03:40 [There will be a strong force]

03:42 [that can hold it]

03:44 [at 31,500]

03:46 [It will go up in a short period of time]

03:48 [And Thongkham will go up]

03:50 [to 33,000 again]

03:52 [At the end of the month]

03:54 [So Thongkham at the moment]

03:57 [If we have a chance to see]

03:59 [Thongkham at the level of 32,000]

04:03 [I still think that]

04:05 [it is a period where the stock price]

04:07 [can buy]

04:09 [And if it goes up to the level of 32,000]

04:11 [or more]

04:13 [It can make a profit]

04:15 [in the short term]

04:17 [And this is where it will go up]

04:19 [because the price of the stock]

04:21 [that is in the middle of the market]

04:23 [is having a problem]

04:25 [Can it go down?]

04:27 [If it doesn't go up]

04:29 [it will have to move up]

04:31 [Thongkham will probably go up]

04:33 [to over 1,900]

04:35 [It's not too difficult]

04:37 [If the situation is like this]

04:39 [If the situation is getting worse]

04:41 [it may go up to 1,900 USD]

04:43 [Besides the war]

04:45 [are there any other factors]

04:47 [that affect the price of Thongkham?]

04:49 [The bond yield]

04:51 [and the Fed meeting]

04:53 [In terms of the Doge]

04:55 [that will be held]

04:57 [in the beginning of next month]

04:59 [on the first day of the fiscal year]

05:01 [There will be two perspectives]

05:03 [The Fed and the Stock Exchange]

05:05 [that will be held]

05:07 [The Fed boss]

05:09 [that is very vocal]

05:11 [85.4% of investors]

05:13 [think that there is no]

05:15 [upgrade to the bear market]

05:17 [If there is no upgrade]

05:19 [it means that Thongkham]

05:21 [will be able to stay at a high level]

05:23 [On the other hand]

05:25 [the Doge]

05:27 [that was reported]

05:29 [in the last month]

05:31 [at the end of last month]

05:33 [in September]

05:35 [the Fed]

05:37 [had a 12-7 perspective]

05:39 [12-7]

05:41 [They think that]

05:43 [the Fed will have a chance]

05:45 [to go up the price]

05:47 [again]

05:49 [at 5.75%]

05:51 [This is the reason]

05:53 [why in the last two weeks]

05:55 [we have seen the price]

05:57 [go up a lot]

05:59 [So there are two perspectives]

06:01 [on where we will go]

06:03 [I think that in this situation]

06:05 [in this period of economic downturn]

06:07 [the Fed will have to slow down]

06:09 [It will not be long]

06:11 [before the price goes up]

06:13 [So, in general]

06:15 [I think that]

06:17 [Thongkham, which is at the level of]

06:19 [1,830]

06:21 [is the period where it can collect]

06:23 [If it drops to 1,800]

06:25 [it means that it can collect]

06:27 [and invest for a long time]

06:29 [in the future]

06:31 [What signals do you think]

06:33 [the investors will get]

06:35 [if the signal comes]

06:37 [that Thongkham should sell?]

06:39 [Actually, the signal]

06:41 [will be close]

06:43 [because the current situation]

06:45 [may be quite fast]

06:47 [and fast]

06:49 [For example, the inflation]

06:51 [is not stable at all]

06:53 [So, the investors]

06:55 [will have to be close]

06:57 [because we are in]

06:59 [different time zones]

07:01 [So, in terms of]

07:03 [the gold]

07:05 [I think that]

07:07 [it will be at the level of 1,870]

07:09 [If you think that]

07:11 [the price that we hold]

07:13 [and invested]

07:15 [can be released]

07:17 [But in the end]

07:19 [Thongkham in the next phase]

07:21 [will have to look at the future]

07:23 [If the long-term investment]

07:25 [is at the level of 1,830]

07:27 [I think that]

07:29 [it can be a long-term investment]

07:31 [because]

07:33 [I still have a signal]

07:35 [that in the next year]

07:37 [or half a year]

07:39 [the chance to adjust the downward trend]

07:41 [meaning that]

07:43 [it is a signal]

07:45 [that is not good for Thongkham]

07:47 [It is a gold pressure]

07:49 [But I think that]

07:51 [it should be reduced]

07:53 [by 0.5%]

07:55 [of the year]

07:57 [in the future]

07:59 [This means that]

08:01 [this is a pressure that Thongkham can lower]

08:03 [In the short term]

08:05 [which war pressure]

08:07 [or downward trend]

08:09 [will have more effect on Thongkham's price?]

08:11 [I have to say that]

08:13 [these two are important]

08:15 [because]

08:17 [it is a global news]

08:19 [but actually, I have to say that]

08:21 [the downward trend is more important]

08:23 [in the past]

08:25 [War]

08:27 [may be a news]

08:29 [which may not be long]

08:31 [It may be due to the third country]

08:33 [or something to help negotiate]

08:35 [for the two sides]

08:37 [to settle down]

08:39 [So, in this respect, I still think that]

08:41 [the downward trend is still important]

08:43 [because the short term]

08:45 [is always opposite to Thongkham]

08:47 [all the time]

08:49 [If we look at the downward trend]

08:51 [in Thailand]

08:53 [we have to admit that]

08:55 [the downward trend]

08:57 [has a lot of effect on Thongkham's price]

08:59 [As you said]

09:01 [the gold price has dropped]

09:03 [because the downward trend]

09:05 [has been stronger in the short term]

09:07 [So, what is the downward trend]

09:09 [and how is Thongkham's price?]

09:11 [In my opinion, the price of Thongkham's price]

09:13 [has dropped by 1%]

09:15 [I think that]

09:17 [if the price can be stronger]

09:19 [it may end up at 36.3%]

09:21 [If we calculate the price of Thongkham]

09:23 [it may end up at around 100 baht]

09:25 [If we calculate the price of Thongkham]

09:27 [it may end up at around 100 baht]

09:29 [If we calculate the price of Thongkham]

09:31 [it may end up at around 100 baht]

09:33 [If we calculate the price of Thongkham]

09:35 [it may end up at around 100 baht]

09:37 [because the price of Thongkham]

09:39 [has dropped to 36.3%]

09:41 [It means that]

09:43 [the price of Thongkham has been a buyable price]

09:45 [I think that]

09:47 [the price of Thongkham]

09:49 [will not go down]

09:51 [and will go up again]

09:53 [So I think that]

09:55 [there is a gain in buying]

09:57 [the price of Thongkham]

09:59 [because I think that]

10:01 [the price of Thongkham has dropped]

10:03 [from 1.850 baht]

10:05 [to the price of Thongkham]

10:07 [from the last night]

10:09 [so there is still a buyable price]

10:11 [I would like you to give us]

10:13 [a suggestion on how to invest]

10:15 [If you are an investor in the short term]

10:17 [I think that]

10:19 [Thongkham should be in the range]

10:21 [of 1.850-1.880 baht]

10:23 [This is the period of the profit]

10:25 [and the long term investors]

10:27 [would see that]

10:29 [the level of 1.830 baht]

10:31 [should be the middle and long term]

10:33 [investment]

10:35 [This is also dependent on]

10:37 [the price of Thongkham]

10:39 [because this is another]

10:41 [of the reasons why]

10:43 [the price of Thongkham]

10:45 [has dropped since the last Thongkham meeting]

10:47 [Thank you for your time today]

10:49 [Thank you very much]

10:51 [Thank you]

10:53 [Goodbye]

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