Elections Simplified: What comprises of the NDA and the I.N.D.I.A.? | Amitabh Tiwari | Modi vs Rahul - video Dailymotion

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Political analyst Amitabh Tiwari (aka Political Baaba) discusses about the constituents of the rulling NDA and the 28 member opposition I.N.D.I.A.  #NDA #INDIAAlliance #LokSabhaElection2024 #RahulGandhi #PMModi #Election2024 #India #LokSabha #Congress #BJP #HWNews #ElectionsSimplified #Opposition #PoliticalShow #PoliticalAnalyst #AmitabhTiwari #INDIA #Bharat

Transcript

00:00 Now, who will win 2024?

00:08 There are two big alliances which are shaping up, which will lock horns in 2024.

00:13 The BJP led NDA, National Democratic Alliance of 38 parties and a confederation of 26 parties

00:20 called the INDIA, Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance.

00:27 The Congress led United Progressive Alliance is along with a few regional parties has been

00:33 now rebranded as INDIA.

00:36 Now, let's see what comprises of these NDA and INDIA.

00:41 The BJP, the Shiv Sena which is a faction led by the Eknath Shinde, which is now the

00:46 original Shiv Sena as per election commission.

00:49 The NCP which is a faction led by Ajit Pawar, the AIADMK and the Lok Jan Shakti Party, the

00:57 party of erstwhile late Ram Vilas Baswan and both the factions of LJP, the Chacha and the

01:04 Bhatija faction are with the NDA.

01:07 Now, let's see who all are there in INDIA.

01:11 Primarily, Congress, the Nationalist Congress Party, the Sharad Pawar faction, the Uddhav

01:17 Thackeray faction of Shiv Sena, Mamata Banerjee's Tridamul Congress, Akhilesh Yadav's Samajwadi

01:24 Party, Nitish Kumar's Janta Dal United, Lalu Yadav's Rashtriya Janta Dal, Arvind Kejriwal's

01:32 Aam Aadmi Party and the left parties primarily consisting of CPM, CPI and others.

01:39 Now, the seat distribution, the leadership and the common minimum program are still sticky

01:45 points which need to be finalized by the INDIA.

01:49 There is also a block of non-Congress, non-BJP aligned regional parties.

01:55 These primarily consists of the Akali Dal of the Badals in Punjab, KCR's BRS, the Bharatiya

02:04 Rashtriya Samiti which was earlier called the Telangana Rashtriya Samiti, Naveen Patnaik's

02:09 Biju Janta Dal from Odisha, Jagan Reddy's YSRCP and Chandrababu Naidu's Telugu Desam

02:17 Party.

02:18 Now, let us see how many MPs these two blocks have today.

02:23 The NDA currently has 332 MPs and INDIA 144 MPs.

02:30 In terms of vote shares, the NDA has 42.9%, so almost 43%, while INDIA has 37.5% as shown

02:41 in the graph below.

02:43 The non-aligned block, the BJD, YSRCP, TDP and Akali Dal have 48 MPs with a vote share

02:51 of 6.2%.

02:52 Now, BJP is the clear leader of NDA with 90% of the seats and vote share.

02:59 The Congress accounts for almost half of the vote share of the INDIA block and 35% of the

03:05 seats.

03:06 So it is clearly the largest party but not a clear leader as the regional satraps like

03:12 Mamata Banerjee and Arvind Kejriwal do not formally accept its leadership as of now.

03:19 The NDA is largely dependent upon the BJP's performance because 90% of the seats and vote

03:24 share are accounted for by the BJP.

03:27 While INDIA is more representative because it has more parties with a bigger chunk of

03:34 seats and vote share.

03:36 Now NDA clearly benefits from the leadership of Narendra Modi, while INDIA block benefits

03:44 from the combined leadership of the Gandhis, Nitish Kumar, Mamata Banerjee, Akhilesh Yadav,

03:51 Arvind Kejriwal etc.

03:53 In 2019 elections, NDA had won 353 seats with 45% vote share while the Ostwil UPA led by

04:03 the Congress had won 91 seats with 27% vote share enjoying a lead of 18%.

04:11 Now this 18% lead is theoretically reduced to 5-6% only with this new grouping of INDIA

04:19 block 43% vs 37.5%.

04:24 Now in terms of absolute numbers, NDA was leading against UPA by 11 crore votes and

04:32 this has reduced to 3 crore votes primarily because of this new block of alliance which

04:39 has now been created.

04:41 However, this difference of 3 crore votes is accounted largely by the non-aligned parties

04:48 the BJD, Akali Dal, YSRCP and the TD.

04:53 Thank you.

04:54 Nitish Kumar.

04:55 Thank you.

04:57 Thank you.

04:58 Thank you.

05:00 Thank you.

05:01 Thank you.

05:03 Thank you.

05:04 Thank you.

05:05 Thank you.

05:06 Thank you.

05:06 (dramatic music)

05:09 you

Elections Simplified: What comprises of the NDA and the I.N.D.I.A.? | Amitabh Tiwari | Modi vs Rahul

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